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Spin Aside, CBO Report Favorable to Increasing Minimum Wage

Posted by Lori Pfingst at Feb 19, 2014 06:15 PM |
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By Lori Pfingst and Ben Secord --Yesterday, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) released a report examining the potential impact of raising the federal minimum wage from its current level of $7.25 to $10.10 over a three year period.   The report largely substantiates growing consensus among economists – that raising the minimum wage would provide a much needed boost to the paychecks of millions of low- to moderate-wage workers across the country.  

The concrete benefits of raising the minimum wage in the report, however, have been overshadowed by the far less concrete and imprecise estimates of the impact on employment.  The benefits of the increase far exceed the costs, and the CBO findings lend additional support to increasing the federal minimum wage. 

Two major conclusions from the report include:

  • 98 percent of workers impacted would benefit from proposal. The report found that more than 24 million Americans would get more take home pay if the minimum wage was increased to $10.10. Overall the policy would result in a small, but significant decrease in poverty, and would slightly reduce income inequality.
  • The potential impact on employment is imprecise, and a sharp departure from what we know about the actual impact of increasing the minimum wage.  The CBO report estimated the impact of raising the federal minimum wage on jobs to be as low as zero, and up to one million jobs lost.  Such an imprecise, and wide-ranging estimate of the potential impact on employment is wholly inconsistent with a robust economic literature that overwhelmingly shows actual minimum wage increases at the federal, state, and city level have little, if any impact on employment.  The weight of the evidence is so great, in fact, that 600 economists recently urged President Obama to raise the minimum wage.

Even under the worst case scenario in the report, workers win, and the findings are consistent with what we already know about raising the minimum wage – that it is a smart policy and should be part of a broader strategy to provide economic security to workers and their families. 

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View the Budget Matters 2016 conference plenary panel, "What's at Stake in the 2017-2019 Budget: Funding McCleary and Beyond," on TVW. Moderated by Ann Dornfeld of KUOW with a budget overview by our own Andy Nicholas, the panel features Nathan Gibbs-Bowling, the 2016 Washington State Teacher of the Year; Lew Moore of the Washington Research Council; Roxana Norouzi of OneAmerica; and Sen. Christine Rolfes. The plenary starts after a brief intro by Executive Director Misha Werschkul and an intro video by Gov. Inslee.

Our Legislative Agenda

Our agenda for the 2015-2017 biennium calls for an equitable, sustainable revenue system in addition to state investments that: promote a world-class education system; sustain a strong middle class; produce living-wage jobs, and ensure that all Washingtonians have equal opportunity to get ahead. 

Testimonies in Olympia

We testified in support of a number of important bills during the 2016 legislative session. Take a look:

  • Our testimony (at the 23:23 minute mark) on the House Bill that would take a two-generation approach to preventing poverty 
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  • Our House testimony (at the 9:25 mark) and Senate testimony (at the 1:44:54 mark) on the two-generation approach to poverty prevention bill 

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